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AND THE OUTBREAK OF WAR. 67
Q at any cost against the intervention of Russia ; 1
on Tuesday there is no suggestion that it ‘
might be possible to avoid war by agreeing `i
to mediation or arbitration. On Thursday ‘
lg he insists that Austria must not refuse all M
mediation. In the two days his whole atti-
tude had altered. What was the reason for 1
this? He tells us it himself. On Tuesday
he anticipated that if war ensued, Russia a
ïi would not have the support of Great Britain, A
and Germany could depend upon the co-
ll operation of her allies, Italy and Roumania. T
At that time, therefore, it was to be antici­
pated that, in the case of war, Germany might
look forward to a rapid and decisive victory. L
So long as this was the case, he ignored all ,
proposals for mediation. But now the cir-
cumstances have changed, for what had hap- ’
pened during the interval? It had been ;
brought to his knowledge, both by the public
attention drawn to the movements of the
British Heet and by the positive warning '
j given by Sir Edward Grey to the German i
Ambassador in London, that in the event
of war, Germany must not depend upon à
p the neutrality of Great Britain. He had E
also, as we now know, received information i
? from Vienna to the effect that Roumania *
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